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You are here: Home / Aquaponics / This Can Be Your Aquaponic Failure

August 12, 2015 By Tim Mann 3 Comments

This Can Be Your Aquaponic Failure:

First, if you’re interested in starting a commercial aquaponics operation, the most important thing you should know is this: one person can easily run 2,500 to 3,000 square feet of aquaponics system, performing all the tasks required: planting, transplanting, harvesting, feeding fish, cleaning and replanting rafts, weedwhacking around the perimeter, performing regular required maintenance, packing and transporting your produce, including delivering to your wholesalers or selling at Farmer’s Markets, in a total of 40 hours a week.

(Below) This is the end result of a $1.6 million investment: Failure2-700px

Second: each 2,500 square feet of aquaponics system requires 4,000 square feet of greenhouse (or more) to house it. Anyone who tells you that you can make a full-time living with 600 square feet of aquaponics or a 20-foot by 40-foot greenhouse is pulling your leg. Anyone who tells you they can teach you “Commercial Aquaponics” (and what they’re using for the course is a 400-square foot system) is also pulling your leg, just a bit more baldly.

Having said that, a smaller system like the 600 square foot system just referred to is a great way to get started in commercial aquaponics. With a small, relatively inexpensive system this size, you can do your due diligence and gain experience and confidence while making some money, and without taking too big a risk. As you build your knowledge, experience, and confidence, you can then develop a commercial AP venture that will give you a full-time income, because you have eliminated as much of the uncertainty from the equation as possible. Our point is that when you do take the plunge and invest thousands of hours and tens of thousands of dollars in an aquaponics venture designed to support you and your family, you want to have all your ducks in a row. Starting a commercial AP venture at a small size gets the ducks lined up beautifully, and gives you lots of opportunities to adjust focus and direction as necessary to succeed.

Third: commercial aquaponics is a business. To be successful, you need business experience, or need to involve someone who has it. Getting all excited and carried away by the newness and coolness of aquaponics does not guarantee success; hard-headed business decisions based on experience and knowlege do.

A lot of aquaponics newcomers who lack business experience see their vegetables growing and fish eating, and believe that’s all that’s necessary: they don’t realize they’re slowly circling the drain. Some of the better-funded ones don’t realize this until their second or third round of investors, because they’ve still got money in the bank; they just hope it will be profitable soon. Because there are no economic models for aquaponics yet, as there are for other businesses, the investors often get taken in by the excitement and hype too, until in the second or third year they realize they’ve funded a business that is set up to lose money and bail out.

Here’s an example of this phenomenon: we used the UVI (University of the Virgin Islands) system for a year after we took their course in 2007, and at the end of that year (because we kept good records) we realized that we’d grown 6,000 pounds of fish. Good, right? No, not good: we had a $2/pound loss on each and every pound; we lost $12,000 our first year just on the fish because we got carried away by the romance of “growing lots of fish”, had learned our technology from an institution that had no requirement of turning a profit on the aquaponics, and hadn’t realized the economic realities of the situation.

Ever since, we’ve focused on keeping costs and labor expenses low and profits as high as possible; and this theme runs through all our courses and materials. We’re the only ones we’re aware of who can show (and are willing to show), that our commercial aquaponics technology and students are profitable.

Because you’re careful and intelligent, we would be surprised if you did not check all the following resources to verify what we just said:

Here are our profitable students who are using our designs and operating technology: Click here for a list of 15 of our successful students successful in commercial aquaponics, and Click here for a more in-depth look at five of our successful students..

Several examples of how people often approach commercial aquaponics are in this PowerPoint slideshow: it’s called “Aquaponics Failures” and details the failures of several commercial aquaponic startups who lost from $350,000 to $4,000,000. You too can fail just like this, if you don’t do careful enough research, try out your ideas at a small scale first, or rely on consultants and advisors who don’t really know what they’re talking about.

Our advice? Don’t be in a hurry to throw your money away. All of these failures could have tested out their “great ideas” thoroughly for less than $10,000 and realized they lost money in the real world. Or, they could simply click here to download and fill in our “Single Crop Projection Tool V1.1.xlsx” spreadsheet with their local expense and income numbers, and find out they also lost money on paper, without even spending the $10,000! (Click here for the instructions for this spreadsheet).

Instead, they were in a hurry to make the big bucks that the salesmen, consultants, and dreamers promised them, and they used technology that had not been proven to be profitable. Two of these hopefuls lost everything: their savings, their houses, and were forced into bankruptcy; one is still in litigation initiated by the investors. There are more coming down the road, for as P. T. Barnum said: “There’s a sucker born every minute”.

The critical thing to understand here is the phrase “technology that had not been proven to be profitable”; because all these technologies grew fish and vegetables, they simply could not turn a profit doing so. They looked great in the greenhouse, but they looked horrible on paper. Don’t be a sucker for a good-looking aquaponics system or greenhouse.

Filed Under: Aquaponics, General Business Principles, General Principles, Spreadsheet Crop Prediction Tools, Start BIG, Die FAST, Start Small, Grow BIG, The Business Of Aquaponics Tagged With: aquaponics failures, best aquaponics system, fail, profit, profitability, what doesn't work, which system for me?

Comments

  1. BobM says

    February 20, 2016 at 7:38 am

    Wow, nice to gain experience from you folks, thanks for sharing this Tim and Susan.

    Reply
  2. Edyegu Stephen says

    September 9, 2015 at 8:39 am

    This is very educative and the way to go.

    Reply

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A Friendly Testimonial:

Hi Tim, My son, Carl and I attended the training in Texas this year. Just to give you an update. The Sunday after the training, I was coming home from the church I pastor and passed by a co-op that has several greenhouses out front that seemed not to be in use anymore. I drove through to check them out and they were not in use.

A couple of months later,.....we are now the owners of the 7 greenhouses and all that comes with them! We were able to purchase them all for only $2800. My son and I begin deconstructing them on Thursday.

I'm attaching a couple of photos for you to look at them. They have propane heaters, roll up sides, boxes and lights for electricity, fiberglass front and rear walls, and a lot of odds and ends that I believe will come in handy.

I am so glad we listened when you spoke on ways to find greenhouses without spending a fortune. It has been tempting to just "jump in" but I'm glad we waited.

Thank you and many blessings, Rob Rolison

(Below) About $50,000 worth of greenhouses and equipment that Rob Rolison and his son Carl picked up for $2,800 after we explained how to do so in our March 2016 Texas 5-day training. They're going to disassemble them and reassemble at their farm. If they'd bought them new, they be at zero now; another way to look at this is that they have $47,200 to spend on the aquaponics systems to go inside their greenhouses.
RolisonGH1-300px

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